Prediction
Answer Options
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between the market's creation and 05:59 CET/CEST on January 1, 2027. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by the military, the security forces or other state actors, or factions of them, to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary action by non-state forces, isolated protests or general unrest will not qualify on their own. Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt has been foiled, such as through arrests or the disruption of a planned operation, will count towards a "Yes" resolution only if credible independent sources widely report the event and explicitly describe it as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempt to carry out the coup will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Reported by Versus Markets