Prediction
Answer Options
Each option is a revenue threshold. That option counts as Yes if Based's cumulative prediction-market revenue is equal to or greater than the listed value by January 1, 2027, 5:59 AM CET; otherwise it resolves No. Resolution is based on the Based revenue bar chart at dune.com/datadashboards/based-statistics, using the "Cumulative Revenue" value shown when hovering over the daily data point. Each threshold resolves as soon as the cumulative revenue shown on the dashboard reaches or exceeds it, or once the value for December 31, 2026 is published, whichever comes first.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
