Prediction
Answer Options
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, ceases to be the de facto leader of Bahrain at any point between the creation of this market and 05:59 on January 1, 2027. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". He will be considered to be no longer the de facto leader of Bahrain if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Bahrain within this market's timeframe. An announcement of King Hamad's resignation or abdication will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the announced departure takes effect. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Reported by Versus Markets