

Prediction
Answer Options
This market resolves Yes if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by January 1, 2027, 5:59 AM CET; otherwise it resolves No. Personnel must physically enter the land territory of the Gaza Strip - entering its maritime territory (as during the US floating-pier attempt in 2024) or its airspace does not qualify, and entering buffer zones under Israeli control does not qualify. High-ranking US service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operations forces do not qualify.
Reported by @Reuters