Prediction
Answer Options
This market resolves to “Yes” if Prabowo Subianto ceases to be President of the Republic of Indonesia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (05:59 CET/CEST the following day). Otherwise, it resolves to “No.” Any announcement of Prabowo Subianto’s resignation or removal made before the market deadline will be enough for an immediate “Yes” resolution, regardless of when the announced departure is set to take effect. If he is detained, effectively removed from office, or otherwise permanently prevented from carrying out the duties of the presidency during the market timeframe, that will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Prabowo Subianto and the government of Indonesia, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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