Prediction
Answer Options
This market resolves Yes if Nicolás Maduro Moros is found guilty of ALL counts in the indictment "United States of America v. Nicolas Maduro Moros [.]" (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH), justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl) by January 1, 2028, 5:59 AM CET; otherwise it resolves No. Resolution is based on the initial verdict rendered by the court. It resolves No under any outcome that is not a guilty verdict or court-accepted guilty plea on every count - including no trial occurring, acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count. Appeals have no bearing on resolution. Primary source: official information from the U.S. court system; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by @Reuters
