Prediction
Answer Options
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Slov'yans'k-Vitka train station in Sloviansk, located on Tsentralna Vulytsia, by 05:59 CET/CEST on January 1, 2027. The railway station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by 05:59 CET/CEST on January 1, 2027, the market will resolve to "No". If Russia comes to control this territory as the result of a negotiated settlement, that will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red on the ISW map. The announcement of a negotiated settlement giving Russia de jure control will not qualify; actual control must be established. Once Russia has captured the railway station, any subsequent loss of control will not count towards the resolution of this market. Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/FnDJ8Xur2CzKvGC76?g_st=isi The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map becomes unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If both the ISW map and DeepStateMap become permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be taken into account.
Reported by Versus Markets