Prediction
Answer Options
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by 05:59 CET/CEST on January 1, 2027, any individual serves time in a federal, state or local US jail or prison and that incarceration is attributed to information contained in Jeffrey Epstein files released by the federal government on or after December 19, 2025. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A qualifying incarceration must be caused by information included in those files. The cause may be established through official charging documents, court rulings, sentencing statements, or a clear consensus of credible reporting attributing the incarceration to information in the released files. Incarceration driven by information that was already public before December 19, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released files, will not qualify. The resolution source will be official court records and government statements, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Reported by Versus Markets