Prediction
Answer Options
If any Blue Origin New Glenn rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by 05:59 CET/CEST on January 1, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". New Glenn rocket refers to any Blue Origin rocket publicly identified by Blue Origin as New Glenn, including any newly manufactured, rebuilt, replacement, or reused New Glenn vehicle. The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by Blue Origin, as well as secondary video feeds and written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly after the initial liftoff, such as an explosion or failed ascent, will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change or rebranding of New Glenn will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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