Who will announce a 2028 presidential run before 2027?

Category

politics

Closes

2026-12-31

For each listed individual, this market resolves Yes if they officially announce that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 election by January 1, 2027, 5:59 AM CET. Otherwise, it resolves No. The announcement alone is enough to trigger Yes, regardless of whether the individual ever formally files as a candidate. The primary resolution source is the individual’s own official statements, including speeches or social media posts, although a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Answer options

• Gavin Newsom15%
• Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez9%
• Pete Buttigieg18%
• Josh Shapiro7%
• Wes Moore10%
• Stephen A. Smith8%
• Kamala Harris9%
• Gretchen Whitmer9%