Prediction
Answer Options
This market resolves to “Yes” if Donald Trump, by the specified date (05:59 CET/CEST the following day), publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request. Otherwise, it resolves to “No.” Contingent statements, such as “Powell must step down,” statements of intent such as “I am planning to fire Powell,” and other informal or non-unequivocal statements will not qualify. If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally leaves his position as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before any qualifying action occurs, this market will immediately resolve to “No.” Attempts to remove Powell only from his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, without also removing him as a member of the Board, will not qualify on their own. The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Reported by Versus Markets