How many major (VEI >=4) volcanic eruptions will occur in 2026?

Category

weather

Closes

2026-12-31

This market resolves to the option matching the number of volcanic eruptions with a Volcanic Explosivity Index of 4 or greater recorded worldwide during 2026, from January 1, 2026, 6:00 AM CET through January 1, 2027, 5:59 AM CET. The “5+” option covers five or more qualifying eruptions.

Answer options

• 162%
• 336%
• 5+6%
• 081%
• 254%
• 418%

Reported by @Reuters