Prediction
Answer Options
This market will resolve to "Yes" if active military personnel officially affiliated with any NATO or EU country enter Ukraine for combat-related military purposes directly pertaining to the ongoing conflict with Russia by January 1, 2027, 05:59 CET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For military personnel to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, they must: 1) be officially acknowledged as active military by the NATO or EU entity or member state they are affiliated with; and 2) be publicly acknowledged by NATO or an EU-affiliated entity to have entered Ukraine for a combat-related military purpose directly pertaining to the ongoing conflict with Russia. For military personnel to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, they must be active duty and acknowledged as described above. Participation in a combat role is necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes" (e.g. military personnel providing training or intelligence support would not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution; however, drone pilots or infantry directly attacking Russian troops, or soldiers targeting and downing missiles from Ukrainian soil, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO, the EU, or member states of either entity; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Reported by Versus Markets