Prediction
Answer Options
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by January 1, 2027, 05:59 CET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" means a large-scale military operation involving more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. Smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Reported by Versus Markets