Prediction
Answer Options
This market will resolve to “Yes” if legislation reducing the top federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals is signed into law by January 1, 2027, 05:59 CET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, the relevant rate is the current top federal long-term capital gains tax rate of 20%. Any legislation signed into law within this timeframe that lowers that rate will qualify, even if the lower rate takes effect after the end of this market’s timeframe. Temporary reductions, temporary tax holidays, or changes that do not directly reduce the tax rate itself — such as changes to income thresholds, brackets, exemptions, deductions, or exclusions — will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Reported by Versus Markets