Prediction
Answer Options
Resolves YES if Zack Polanski is declared the winner of the parliamentary by-election in Holborn and St Pancras expected in 2026 after Sir Keir Starmer's announced resignation. Otherwise NO: if another candidate takes the seat, this settles NO, and if no definitive result is known by 30 June 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the outcome is Other and this prediction also settles NO. Broad agreement among reliable news reports decides; if the reports are ambiguous, the official result published by Camden Council decides.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
