Prediction
Answer Options
This market resolves YES if any US state enacts legislation establishing a statewide moratorium on new data centres by 05:59 CET on 1 January 2027. Otherwise it resolves NO. A qualifying moratorium must temporarily or indefinitely prohibit, suspend or pause the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centres, or of a defined category of new data centres, within that state. Qualifying legislation includes any state bill that establishes such a data centre moratorium. Qualifying legislation must be enacted into law in accordance with the applicable state's constitutional and legal procedures. This generally requires final passage by the relevant state legislature and approval by the governor, becoming law without signature, or taking effect through a veto override or other lawful mechanism. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market are official state legislative trackers, governor's office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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