Prediction
Answer Options
This market resolves to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait that is less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the specified date. Otherwise, it resolves to “No.” The market resolves as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a qualifying 7-day moving average of 10 or below, or once data has been published for the specified date and no such value has appeared. If no data has been published for the specified date within 14 calendar days after that date, using the ET calendar-day standard reflected in the source market, the market resolves based on the data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made before data for the specified date has been published will be taken into account, but they will not disqualify a data point that has already qualified. Revisions made after data for the specified date has been published will not be considered. Resolution is based on IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, including both the chart and downloadable files.
Reported by Versus Markets