Prediction
Answer Options
For each listed value, the market resolves Yes if Donald Trump's approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below that value on any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves No. A date's approval rating must be finalized before it is considered for this market (a data point becomes finalized once the next data point is available). Resolution is based on Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator (https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin), specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes to the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating have no bearing on resolution. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 6:00 PM CET (noon), this market resolves according to all previous data points.
Reported by @Reuters