Prediction
Answer Options
On 1 August 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed "Astra," describing an internal version of Astra as its "next major model." You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/. This market resolves YES if OpenAI releases "Astra" — or a model confirmed to be the same one referenced in the announcement described above — and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (CET/CEST). Otherwise it resolves NO. A qualifying model must be named "Astra," including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra or similar naming and rebranded versions, or be confirmed as the same model referenced in the announcement, either by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting. Products labelled GPT-5.7, GPT-6 or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement. For this market to resolve YES, the qualifying model as defined above must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labelled as such on the company's official website. Labelling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from OpenAI, though a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Reported by Versus Markets