Prediction
Answer Options
This market resolves YES if the Trump administration formally creates a tariff dividend or rebate — by signing federal legislation or through executive action — by 05:59 CET on 1 January 2027. Otherwise it resolves NO. Any bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame qualifies, regardless of when the law or action takes effect. A qualifying payment of any amount distributed to any segment of individual US taxpayers counts, provided it is clearly attributed primarily to tariff revenue rather than being a routine tax refund or credit. The resolution source is a consensus of credible reporting.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
