Prediction
Answer Options
This market resolves YES if the U.S. government announces a complete evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon—or if a complete evacuation is otherwise confirmed—between market creation and January 1, 2027, 5:59 AM CET. Otherwise, it resolves NO. What qualifies: An official announcement of a full embassy evacuation issued before the deadline is sufficient for a YES, even if the evacuation itself does not occur within the market’s timeframe. What does NOT qualify: A partial evacuation does not count if any embassy staff are intended to remain. Resolution source: Official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the embassy’s complete evacuation.
Reported by Versus Markets