Prediction
Answer Options
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine and the European Union formally sign an accession treaty by 05:59 CET/CEST on January 1, 2028. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying accession treaty will be a binding agreement establishing the terms of Ukraine's potential future membership of the European Union, including agreements that provide for partial or limited membership or that contain exemptions, transition periods or carve-outs on specific EU policies. Ukraine does not need to become a member of the European Union for this market to resolve to "Yes", and ratification of the agreement by EU member states, the Ukrainian parliament or any other legislative body is not required either. Preliminary agreements, association agreements, framework agreements, or membership or potential membership of the European Economic Area alone will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official publications from the European Commission, the European Council or the government of Ukraine, although a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
