Prediction
Answer Options
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the use of X/Twitter is banned within any European country before 05:59 CET on January 1, 2027. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "European country" is defined as any of the following sovereign states: Albania, Andorra, Austria, Belarus, Belgium, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Georgia, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Kosovo, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Moldova, Monaco, Montenegro, Netherlands, North Macedonia, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, Ukraine, United Kingdom and Vatican City. A ban will qualify if legislation is enacted, or government action is taken, to bar the respective country's citizens from downloading and/or viewing X/Twitter, and/or from posting on X/Twitter. Any legislation or government action meeting these standards will qualify, regardless of whether or when the ban takes effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the respective government and X/Twitter; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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