Prediction
Answer Options
This market resolves Yes if Ukraine and Russia sign a peace deal formally ending the war between them before January 1, 2027 (Central European local time). Otherwise, it resolves No. Resolution will be based on official information from Ukraine and/or Russia, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by @Reuters
