Prediction
Answer Options
This market resolves YES if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (CET/CEST). Otherwise it resolves NO. Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variant. Models under any other name — Sonnet, Opus, Fable or Mythos, for instance — will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labelled as such on the company's official website. Labelling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Reported by Versus Markets