
Prediction
Answer Options
This market resolves Yes if Valve publicly and explicitly announces that Half-Life 3 is in production by January 1, 2027, 5:59 AM CET; otherwise it resolves No. Announcing any expansion or sequel not explicitly named 'Half-Life 3' (e.g. Half-Life: Alyx, Half-Life 2: Episode One) is not sufficient for Yes - the game's title must contain the words 'Half-Life 3'. The resolution source is official information from Valve or a consensus of credible sources.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by @thegamerwebsite