Prediction
Answer Options
This market resolves to “Yes” if the U.S. Department of the Treasury sends any funds or assets via a blockchain by January 1, 2027 at 05:59 CET. Otherwise, it resolves to “No”. To qualify, the transaction must be an official, publicly announced payment involving the transfer of funds or assets. Exploratory or experimental transactions will not count toward a “Yes” resolution. A qualifying transaction must be an official Treasury payment made in the ordinary course of government operations, such as a disbursement, settlement, or transfer, conducted via a public blockchain. Pilot programs, proof-of-concept transactions, and any transactions explicitly described by the Treasury as tests or experiments do not qualify. The public announcement confirming the transaction must be made by January 1, 2027 at 05:59 CET, regardless of when the transaction itself took place. For the purposes of this market, “Treasury” includes sub-agencies and offices within the Department of the Treasury, including the Bureau of the Fiscal Service, the Office of Financial Research, and any Treasury-authorized entity carrying out a public transaction. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. government, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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