Prediction
Answer Options
This market resolves Yes if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce an intention to divorce between this market's creation and 5:59 AM CET/CEST on the following day on December 31, 2026; otherwise it resolves No. An announcement of intent to divorce by the deadline is sufficient for "Yes," regardless of whether a divorce later occurs or occurs after this window. The source is statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan and their representatives, though a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may also be considered.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by @Reuters
