Prediction
Answer Options
Resolves YES if Alexi Giannoulias ends up as the winner of the Chicago mayoral race. Voters go to the polls in the nonpartisan vote on 23 February 2027; should no candidate clear half of the votes that day, a second round follows on 6 April 2027, and whoever wins that round is the winner. Otherwise NO. Decided first by broad agreement among reliable reports; official information published by the City of Chicago (official source) settles the result wherever it leaves room for doubt. The prediction runs from 15 September 2026, 17:49:29 UTC, to 6 April 2027, 23:59 UTC.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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